top of page
0
2

2

0

2

4

4

Last updated: April 6, 2026

Presidential Election Results: Trump Wins

Donald J. Trump won the presidency for a second time, becoming the second person in history to serve two non-consecutive terms. By improving his performance in both blue and red states and successfully capturing key swing states, he secured the necessary Electoral College votes. His significant gains in traditionally Democratic states like California and New York allowed him to become the first Republican in 20 years to win the national popular vote.

You may need to zoom out to see the results properly. 

Kamala Harris

226

image.png

Donald J. Trump

312

270

TO WIN

image_edited.jpg

75,017,613 votes (48.32%) 

77,302,580 votes (49.80%) 

Background and Early Campaign

The 2024 election cycle technically began on November 15, 2022. Donald Trump announced his candidacy at Mar-a-Lago days after a lackluster Republican performance in the midterms. Analysts interpreted this move as a strategy to freeze the GOP field and get ahead of the constant looming Derpartment of Justice investigations. For the next year, the political world watched as a "shadow primary" unfolded. Prominent figures such as Ron DeSantis (Governor of Florida) and Nikki Haley (former Governor of South Carolina and US Ambassador to the United Nations) attempted to position themselves as the future of the Republican Party. Five months later, Joe Biden announced his candidacy for the 2024 presidency. Biden used his "Bidenomics" platform and the defense of democracy as his main talking points. As a result, the race was defined by a deep sense of national polarization and a "rematch fatigue" among the general electorate.

Throughout most of 2023, the news was dominated by Trump's criminal indictments, of which there were four. Accounting for all four indictments, there were 91 total felony counts across multiple jurisdictions. Trump's legal issues served as a massive talking point and fundraising tool for the former president, claiming them to be politically motivated "witch hunts." The Democratic Party remained silent during the primary phase compared to their Republican counterparts. This cleared the path for Joe Biden's nomination despite consistently low and steadly declining approval ratings combined with growing concerns about his age and mental health. Inflation and the high clost of living remianed the primary "kitchen table" issue that Republicans used to attack the Biden administration. Democrats debated the topic of reproductive rights, believing this would be the strongest turnout due to the recent overturning of Roe v. Wade. The Supreme Court also had an unprecedented amount of influence in this particular election. They ruled that Trump could not be removed from state ballots under the Fourteenth Amendment's insurrection clause, despite several attempts from some states to do so.

By 2023's end, the stage was largely set for a collision between a sitting president defending his record and a former president seeking personal and political vindication. Third-party candidates like Robert F. Kennedy Jr. also began to gain attention, which began to signal some need for an alternative to the long-standing two-party system that has dominated American politics since the country's formation. Along with the domestic debate, the recent geopolitical events including Russia and Ukraine's war and the conflict in Gaza added more talking points for both Democrats and Republicans. Most polls suggested a very slim margin, predicting that the victory would be coming down to just a few thousand votes in the Midwest.

Summer 2024 - The Summer of Chaos

June 2024 proved to be the ultimate turning point, with the first presidential debate occurring much earlier than in previous cycles. Joe Biden's performance on June 27 was widely characterized as a political catastrophe and extremely disastrous for the Democratic Party's cause, as he appeared frail and struggled to form coherent sentences. This generated significant panic among the Democratic donors as well as elected Democratic officials. The White House attempted to save face by consistently saying that Biden was staying in the race despite the poor debate performance. 

July 2024 proved to be arguably more chaotic than June. A shockwave was sent around the nation when a gunman opened fire at a Trump rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, nearly killing the former president. This assassination attempt produced a picture of Trump raising his fist with a bloodied ear, near-instantly becoming a historical artifact and unified the Republican party. In Milwaukee, the Republican National Convention began, where Trump selected Senator JD Vance as his Vice President. Despite the Republican Party having seemingly shifted towards a message of "unity", the platform still massively covered mass deportations and aggressive trade tariffs. Six days later, on July 21, Joe Biden posted a letter on his social media announcing his withdrawal for the race, immediately endorsing his Vice President Kamala Harris to run in his stead. Harris managed to consolidate support for the Democratic Party relatively quickly, which rendered the Republican Party's primary talking point of Biden's cognitive dysfunction and age largely ineffective. Harris's entry into the race gave way to massive fundraising surges, most notably from Gen Z voters who had previously not been very enthusiastic about the election. Shortly after her running, she selected Minnesota Governor Tim Walz, aiming to appeal to the Midwestern working class. The Democratic National Convention in Chicago was considered by many to be a high-energy affair, focusing mainly on "Joy" as a political strategy in an attempt to contrast with Trump's warnings of "World War III" and "a 1929-style Great Depression". Depsite the undeniable momentum shift in favor of the Democratic Party, the race remained a dead heat in the seven crucial swing states that would decide the Electoral College. Foreign policy protests regarding the situation in Gaza continued to affect the Harris campaign, which created some internal friction within the party's more progressive wing. By late August, the election had been completely transformed from a Biden-Trump rematch into a high-stakes sprint between Harris and Trump.

Final Months and November Results

The final two months of both campaigns were defined by a focus on the "Blue Wall" states: Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, all of which had voted in favor of Biden in 2020. Harris and Trump met for their first and last debate, which was largely seen as a decisive Harris victory, due to having apparently successfully baited Trump into defensive tangents. Despite this, the polling did not change all that significantly. Trump's campaign focused more on the "manosphere" and alternative media, appearing on podcasts like Joe Rogan's to reach young men who felt as if they were left behind. Harris attempted a different approach. Attempting to appeal to both sides, she tried to bridge the gap with moderate Republicans who were appalled and disgusted by Trump's personality but were relatively ambivalent regarding the recent Democratic economic policies. 

A second assassination attempt on Trump heightened the sense of national instability, increasing the security footprint on both candidates. The "Make America Healthy Again" (MAHA) movement emerged when RFK Jr. officially withdrew as a presidential candidate, instead opting to join forces with Trump. This significantly captured the attention of health-conscious and anti-establishment voters who were skeptical of federal institutions like the HHS department. Trump also leaned into the "culture war" issues, regarding transgender rights and the role of the government in educations. Harris's closing argument was largely about "Freedom", more specifically the freedom to make healthcare decisions without government interference. 

As Election Day approached, there was shown to be significant voter turnout in especially critical swing states like Georgia and North Carolina. On the night of November 5, the results began to display a significant shift to the right in almost every part of the country. Trump managed to not only win all seven swing states, but made significant gains in traditionally Democratic areas like New York City and Chicago. There was also a significant demographic realignment, as Trump won a large portion of the Hispanic vote and made gains among Black men. Kamala Harris conceded the following day, focusing on the need for a peaceful transfer of power despite the loss.

The 2024 election resulted in Donald Trump becoming the second president in history to win non-consecutive terms, after Grover Cleveland.

Results by State

Exit Polls

bottom of page